China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.From January to October, the national output of photovoltaic polysilicon, silicon wafers, batteries and components all increased by more than 20% year-on-year. According to the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, from January to October 2024, China's photovoltaic industry operated smoothly as a whole. According to the announcement of photovoltaic industry norms, enterprise information and industry associations, the output of photovoltaic polysilicon, silicon wafers, batteries and components in China increased by more than 20% year-on-year, and the export volume of photovoltaic cells increased by more than 40%. In the polysilicon sector, the national output from January to October was about 1.58 million tons, up 39.0% year-on-year. In the silicon wafer link, the national output from January to October was about 608GW, and the export volume was about 53.2GW. In the battery sector, from January to October, the national output of crystalline silicon batteries was about 510GW, and the export volume was about 45.9GW. In terms of components, from January to October, the national output of crystalline silicon components was about 453GW, and the export volume was about 205.9GW.The concept of first-round economy continued to increase the daily limit of more than 10 constituent stocks, and the concept of first-round economy continued to increase in intraday trading. Media games, IP economy, performing arts and travel, and Meta-Universe all rose well. More than 10 constituent stocks such as Aofei Entertainment, Lisheng Sports, Dafeng Industry, Tianxiaxiu, and Roman shares rose by more than 10%.
ST Mo Long and other materials companies have set up sales business of renewable resources. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Shandong Cangyuan Materials Co., Ltd. was established, with Liu Shuai as the legal representative and a registered capital of 5 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of machinery and equipment; Sales of coal and products; Sales of renewable resources; Import and export agents, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is jointly held by ST Mo Long and others.Clown won the TGA Best Indie Game Award.The exposure of Xiaomi Auto to the sea is accelerated, and overseas sales will be carried out around the local Xiaomi Home store. Many sources say that Xiaomi Auto is preparing to build a car business to the sea. The international department of Xiaomi Group has added a preparation team for the sea sales business, and is recruiting positions such as market research, project management and electric vehicle after-sales engineers. Under the Ministry of Automobile, Xiaomi's autonomous driving department has added a number of jobs for overseas markets to solve the problem of overseas legal verification and function landing of autonomous driving function. It is foreseeable that autonomous driving will be one of the key points of Xiaomi Automobile's betting on the sea. The report quoted people familiar with the matter as saying that after the formation of the team, Xiaomi will sell small quantities of cars overseas in recent years to test the market reaction and prepare for the large-scale development of the sea business. The overseas sales of Xiaomi Automobile will mainly rely on the Xiaomi Home store under the International Department. At present, Xiaomi has more than 100 direct stores overseas. In July this year, Lei Jun replied, "When can I buy Xiaomi cars in France?" The goal is to sell Xiaomi brand cars in Europe before 2030. Judging from the speed of the formation of Xiaomi Auto's sea team, this progress is likely to be accelerated. (36Kr Auto)
On the 13th, the No.20 rubber fell by 2.05%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract No.20 rubber 2502 was closed, with a turnover of 159,100 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 5,142 lots. A total of 205,200 lots were traded in the No.20 rubber futures contract, an increase of 8,176 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 84,200 lots, an increase of 812 lots over the previous day. Short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 94,500 lots, a decrease of 1,708 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)Zuo Qiang served as the chairman and secretary of the Party Committee of China Construction No.1 Bureau (Group) Co., Ltd. On the afternoon of December 13th, China Construction No.1 Bureau (Group) Co., Ltd. held a meeting of cadres and workers. China Construction Group announced the decision to supplement the main leaders of China Construction No.1 Bureau (Group) Co., Ltd.: Comrade Zuo Qiang is the chairman and party secretary of China Construction No.1 Bureau (Group) Co., Ltd.Ukrainian Ministry of Agriculture: It is estimated that Ukraine's grain output will be close to 55 million tons in 2024, compared with the previous estimate of 54 million tons.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14